Media Publications (selected)

As a sociologist and political analyst, editor, contributing columnist and TV-radio commentator I have published and broadcast numerous of analytical publications in Belarusian and foreign media. Here are selected articles published in foreign and major Belarusian media since 1990.    


  1. Oleg Manaev, "One country, two different Belaruses", Svaboda, July 31, 2021 (BEL | RUS)

  2. Oleg Manaev, “Our banner isn’t down, people hold it aloft”. Belsat. Straight talk. What is the real rating of Lukashenko after the revolution?, April 14, 2021, WATCH | READ | FULL VIDEO

  3. Oleg Manaev, "It is possible that neither Lukashenko, nor Tsikhanouskaya received 50%+1 of votes", October 4, 2020, Deutsche Welle, TUT.BY

  4. Oleg Manaev,«Сквозной эфир», RTVi, November 24, 2020 WATCH (10-18 min)

  5. Oleg Manaev,«Сквозной эфир», RTVi, October 14, 2020 WATCH (11-22 min)

  6. Oleg Manaev, "Lukashenko’s Belarus may have shrunk, but it’s still there",, August 14, 2020

  7. Oleg Manaev, «The Belarus Election and its Aftermath»,, August 13, 2020

  8. Oleg Manaev, «Elections in Belarus», Current Time, August 5, 2020, WATCH (26-32 min):

  9. Oleg Manaev, "The Womanly Face of Protest", Current Time, July 18, 2020,, WATCH (3-6 min)

  10. Oleg Manaev, "About the role of sociological surveys in electoral campaigns", Current Time, July 14, 2020, WATCH

  11. Oleg Manaev, "How people vote on the web, and what the head of IISEPS thinks of rating", Салiдарнасць, June 8, 2020, READ

  12. Oleg Manaev, "I still don't see the signs of system's failure", Radio Svoboda, June 8, 2020, READ

  13. Oleg Manaev "25 years of Alexander Lukashenko's rule: from the Belarusian "Robin Hood" - to the "Nottingham Sheriff", June 23, 2019,, Full text:        

  14. Oleg Manaev "About dividing Belarus", April 16, 2019, 

  15. Oleg Manaev, “About emigration to the USA, Trump, and new pro-Moscow dictator in Belarus”, Svaboda, July 21, 2018

  16. Oleg Manaev, “It is not worth illusions that changing the president will necessarily lead to changes”,, August 13, 2017 

  17. Oleg Manaev, “IISEPS does not plan to return to Belarus in the short term”, BelaPAN, August 12, 2017  

  18. Oleg Manaev, “Life and work in the USA”, Belarusian week, August 10, 2017

  19. Oleg Manaev, “Society in Belarus legitimizes Lukashenko's power”, Deutsche Welle, July 11, 2017

  20. Oleg Manaev, “WAPOR justified IISEPS: It's not us, but BT and the special services behind it use falsifications”, Solidarity, December 23, 2016

  21. Oleg Manaev “IISEPS did not falsify survey data!”, Belarusian Partisan, December 22, 2016   

  22. Oleg Manaev, “Polling organization in exile suspends conducting polls in Belarus”, BelaPAN, August 10, 2016

  23. Oleg Manaev, “Lukashenko for Belarusians is a bird in hands”, Voice of America, September 12, 2015

  24. Oleg Manaev, “Belarus: Elections-2015”, 5 interviews, Svobodnye Novosti Plus, January-July 2015 DOWNLOAD

  25. Oleg Manaev, “Ukraine-Russia crisis significantly affected Belarusians”, EuroRadio, October 20, 2014  

  26. Oleg Manaev, “Prihodnost Belorusije je se vedno odprta”, Reporter (Ljubljana, Slovenia), October 6, 2014 DOWNLOAD, English

  27. Oleg Manaev, "On average salary in Belarus", ARU TV, September 19, 2014, WATCH

  28. Oleg Manaev, “The state of Belarusian society”, PRIMUS.BY, July 29, 2014

  29. Oleg Manaev, “Belarusians turned on social-political reverse”, Deutsche Welle, April 18, 2014  

  30. Oleg Manaev, “Belarusian society’s attitudes to the state-run and non-state media”, TUT.BY, January 30, 2014 

  31. Oleg Manaev, “Belarus needs bourgeois-democratic revolution”, Gazeta, January 23, 2014 

  32. Oleg Manaev, “Belarusians are disappointed of unrealized expectations”, Euro Radio, January 14, 2014 

  33. Oleg Manaev, “US-Russia Relations Today”, East Tennessee TV, Knoxville, September 25, 2013

  34. Oleg Manaev, “Peculiarities of Belarusian Regime”, East Tennessee Radio, Knoxville, September 23, 2013 

  35. Oleg Manaev, “Split of the Society is Lukashenko’s Main Historical Fault”, Deutsche Welle, July 24, 2013 

  36. Oleg Manaev, “From Philosophy of Barricades to Philosophy of Co-Existence”, Mediakritika, March 18, 2013 

  37. Oleg Manaev, “What Belarusians Think?” Belarus Digest, January 18, 2013

  38. Oleg Manaev "Even after Lukashenko most part of present opposition leaders will not see power as their own ears", Belgazeta, December 3, 2012 DOWNLOAD

  39. Oleg Manaev, “Trust Is Back”, Belorusy i Rynok, April 9, 2012  

  40. Oleg Manaev, “Ruling Class Needs Funding, Not Suggestions”, Svobodnye Novosti Plus, March 21, 2012

  41. Oleg Manaev, “Vacillating” Majority is Not Interested in Politics”, Svobodnye Novosti Plus, December 28, 2011

  42. Oleg Manaev, “The Divided Society”, Svobodnye Novosti Plus, February-March, 2011 DOWNLOAD

  43. Oleg Manaev, “Gloomy Autumn”, Narodnaya Volya, September 30, 2011 

  44. Oleg Manaev. “Collapse”, Narodnaya Volya, June 28, 2011 

  45. Oleg Manaev, “Changes in Geo-Political Attitudes towards EUShouldn’t be Overestimated”, Deutsche Welle, April 8, 2011   

  46. Oleg Manaev "To lean to think", InfoCom, December 2010 DOWNLOAD

  47. Oleg Manaev, “Presidential Campaign-2010: Electoral “Landscape”, Svobodnye Novosti Plus, October 17, 2010  

  48. Oleg Manaev, “Key Word for this Elections Should be “Perspectives”, Svobodnye Novosti Plus, October 4, 2010  

  49. Oleg Manaev, “No Pretensions”, Narodnaya Volya, June 27, 2010

  50. Oleg Manaev, "Religious renaissance in post-Soviet Belarus did not lead to a change in values", Deutsche Welle, January 7, 2010 DOWNLOAD

  51. Oleg Manaev, “Lukashenko today protects interests of officials and big business”, Deutsche Welle, August 13, 2009 

  52. Oleg Manaev, “Belarus in “the Disinformation Circle”, New Europe, June 14, 2007 

  53. Oleg Manaev, “Public Opinion in Belarus will be Determined by the Sate”, Belarusian Partisan, March 6, 2007   

  54. Oleg Manaev, “Belarus and European Union: Matrix of Reality”, Belaruski Rynok, February 26, 2007  

  55. Oleg Manaev, “Belarusian Choice”, Svobodnye Novosti Plus, January 7, 14, 21, 2007 DOWNLOAD

  56. Oleg Manaev, “Belarus: 15 years of Independence”, Gazeta, December 18, 2006

  57. Oleg Manaev,"The long echo of Chernobyl", IISEPS News N 2, 2006 DOWNLOAD

  58. Oleg Manaev, “EU should target Belarus arms trade”, EUobserver, March 29, 2006

  59. Oleg Manaev at all, “Belarus-2006: Paths to Changes”, Svobodnye Novosti Plus, January 19, 2006 DOWNLOAD

  60. Oleg Manaev, “Foes Around?” Zerkalo, October 5, 2005

  61. Oleg Manaev, "All ages are submissive obscene language", Zerkalo, N 10, 2005 DOWNLOAD

  62. Oleg Manaev, “Long-lasting Echo of National Referendum”, Zgoda, N 10, 2005 DOWNLOAD

  63. Oleg Manaev, "Reconstruction of the concept of corruption and its measurement", IISEPS News N 2, 2005 DOWNLOAD

  64. Oleg Manaev, “Unfair Power itself Pushes People to revolution”, Narodnaya Volya, April 1, 2005

  65. Oleg Manaev, “Relay of Freedom”, SME (Bratislava), March 13, 2005

  66. Oleg Manaev, “Orange Prospects” for Belarus”, Svobodnye Novosti Plus, January 9, 2005

  67. Oleg Manaev, “Women’s Features of Belarusian Alternative”, Zgoda, December 17, 2004

  68. Oleg Manaev, “Electoral Resources for President Lukashenko”, Zerkalo, November 5, 2004

  69. Oleg Manaev, “Modern Features of Belarusian Elite”, Zgoda, September 29, 2004

  70. Oleg Manaev, “How to Push Belarusians for Changes?” Svobodnye Novosti plus, August 11, 2004

  71. Oleg Manaev, “Silent revolution” or How a Structure of Belarusian Society is Changing”, Narodnaya Volya, July 15, 2004

  72. Oleg Manaev, “Four Pillars of President Lukashenko’s Power”, Vremya Novostey (Moscow), July 8, 2004

  73. Oleg Manaev, "Belarusians at home: with alcohol, but without sex", Express News, 2 July 2004

  74. Oleg Manaev , “Newest Trends of Internet Use in Belarus”,, July 1, 2004

  75. Oleg Manaev, “Notorious Disappearances as Factor of Authorities’ De-Legitimization”, Svobodnye Novosti plus, April 29, 2004

  76. Oleg Manaev, "Where does a single state ideology lead Belarus?" Zgoda, April 4, 2004 DOWNLOAD

  77. Oleg Manaev, “Belarus-Russia: Doomed to Friendship?” Svobodnye Novosti plus, December 12, 2003

  78. Oleg Manaev, “Rating as factor of Political Mobilization”, Svobodnye Novosti plus, October 18, 2003

  79. Oleg Manaev, “Where Belarusian Voters Have Been Lost?” Volny Chas, June 17, 2003 DOWNLOAD

  80. Oleg Manaev, “OCSE Advisory and Monitoring Group in Belarus: Mission Impossible?” Narodnaya Volya, May 15, 2002

  81. Oleg Manaev, “Quest for the Lost Alternative”, Svobodnye Novosti, April 20, 2002

  82. Oleg Manaev, “Belarusian Electorate: navigation for Candidates for Presidency”, IISEPS News, 2002, 1-2-3: 5-21

  83. Oleg Manaev, "IISEPS: ten years of struggle for the right on independent judgment", Belarus Today, February 4, 2002 DOWNLOAD

  84. Oleg Manaev, “Post-Communist Dilemma: Aristocracy vs. Democracy or New Challenges to Media and Politics”, Svobodnye Novosti, December 2, 2001

  85. Oleg Manaev, “Presidential Elections: What Really Has Happened?” Svobodnye Novosti, November 9, 2001

  86. Oleg Manaev, “Presidential Elections: Probable Scenario”, Svobodnye Novosti plus, December 23, 2000

  87. Oleg Manaev, “Parliamentary Elections: Landscape after the Battle”, Narodnaya Volya, October 27, 2000

  88. Oleg Manaev, “Information and Communication Technologies between Public and the State Determine Future of the Country”, in Zvyazda, September 21, 2000  

  89. Oleg Manaev, “Belarus-2000: Why there are no Changes?”, 5 interviews, Svobodnye Novosti Plus, August-September 2000 DOWNLOAD

  90. Oleg Manaev, “Future President in Belarusians’ Ideas” in Nasha Svaboda, August 21, 2000

  91. Oleg Manaev, “Electoral Resources of Belarusian Democracy”, Brestski Kurier, August 18, 2000

  92. Oleg Manaev, “Rule of Law a-la Belarus”, in De-facto, March 29, 2000

  93. Oleg Manaev, “Technology of Development of Information-Analytical Infrastructure for Private Enterprise”, in Public Word, October 25, 1999

  94. Oleg Manaev, “Public Economic Attitudes as Factor of Social Development”, Belaruski Rynok, March 18, 1999

  95. Oleg Manaev and Roger Alworth, “Belarusian Scholar Believes Russia Needs Marshall Plan”, in Enterprise Record (Chico), September 5, 1998 DOWNLOAD

  96. Oleg Manaev, “Belarus Non-State TV and its Audience”, Belaruski Rynok, January 31, 1998

  97. Oleg Manaev, “Both Authorities and Public Need Unbiased Information”, in News, February 27, 1998

  98. Oleg Manaev, “Belarus as Detonator for Europe” in Svaboda, September 23, 1997

  99. Oleg Manaev, «On the Thin Ice: Sociological Portrait of President Lukashenko’s Electorate», in Beloruskaya Delovaya Gazeta, September 1, 1997. 

  100. Oleg Manaev, “Both the State and the Public Need Independent think tanks”, Zvyazda, February 7, 1997 

  101. Oleg Manaev, “There are Opinion Leaders in Belarus, and One Should Listen to them”, in Zvyazda, November 21, 1996

  102. Oleg Manaev, “Belarusian Authorities in the Mirror of Public Opinion”, in Svaboda, July 2, 1996

  103. Oleg Manaev, “A Few Could Do Politics but Everyone Should Participate in “Civil Construction”, in Zvyazda, November 16, 1995 DOWNLOAD

  104. Oleg Manaev, “Belarus through US Students Eyes”, in Minsk Economic News, November 18, 1994 DOWNLOAD

  105. Oleg Manaev, “Soros Foundation: Strategy for Belarus”, in Narodnaya Gazeta, November 12, 1994 DOWNLOAD

  106. Oleg Manaev, “Lost Belarusians: on the Role of Opinion Polls in Social Development”, Sovetskaya Belorussiya, July 5, 1992 DOWNLOAD

  107. Oleg Manaev and Olga Wojtas, “Gloomy Reality behind the Great Lie”, the Times Higher (London), December 13, 1991

  108. Oleg Manaev and Yuri Drakokhrust, “What Belarusian Popular Front should be?” in Soglasiye, October 29, 1990 DOWNLOAD